Will the market crash this year?

[tomfly]

I am taking a new strategy for my retirement accounts. I am done riding the rollercoaster. I have retrieved all of my losses from 08 and some modest gains. I moved all of my retirement assets into a safer fund that has immunity from the bubble burst.

I don’t believe the gains in the past year are sustainable. Leading me to believe it is just another bubble to lure unsuspecting investors back onto the rollercoaster. I have found nothing in the economic environment a part form federal intervention that warrants the unprecedented market inflation. Unemployment situation has not changed. The federal debt is escalating. Congress is a do nothing entity. I believe the pin is on the balloon just waiting for a push. If and when the markets corrects, I will reinvest and get out at the next bubble pinnacle.

 

[Rusty Spinner]

So long as corporations continue not to expand and take on new debt, they will keep on making strong profits. Bond markets remain weak, so investors will continue to buy stocks. I don't see any crash in the near future.

 

[sunsignarcher]

A sound, proven strategy that can be summed up with a quote from the oracle. "Be afraid when others are greedy, be greedy when others are afraid"

The only problem with that strategy is the timeline required to make it work. Market cycles are certainly reliable but with peaks n valleys that can span a decade you sure ain't makin money overnight and none of us r gettin any younger.

Im all out right now. When the opportunity to get back in will come... I dunno, but it is coming, always has, always will.

 

[Petergoodman]

Couple thouhts:
1. The stock market is up 30+ percent for 2013 - this isn't continuing, and no one expects it to.
2. Historically, when a market is up over 25% one year, the following year it is up at least 10-15%. Cycles tend not to be one year things. But there will likely be some kind of correction first.
3. If you want to do a google on something called an Ibbotson chart, you will see that in any given year SOMETHING is the right place to invest in. It is amazing how often one type of investment is the top choice in one year, and two years later it is the worst. What I tell people is that unless they can predict the future and time things just right, the best route is to have a combination of different types of investments, so that something is always hitting a home run (and something else is not) - but at least you don't have everything in the same pot.
4. The problem with timing the market as yo suggest is that human nature works aganst it for most people. When the market has been going up for awhile, people tend to think this will continue - so when the beginning of the dip occurs, they stick tight. By the time they realize the market is going down, they have already lost value. And when the cycle turns back up, still feeling burned by the last downturn, they are slow to get back in. All you end up doing is levelizing values over time. Better to put an allocation or combination of different types of investments that happens to fit your specific situation and financial plan.

 

[Trout Guy]

I'm kinda banking on that asteroid colliding with planet earth in 2025.

So I have enrolled in the George Thurogood retirement plan.. 1 bourbon, 1 scotch and one beer..

 

[Future Fanatic]

Although Iron Man 3 grossed over 1.2 billion worldwide, I don't think Robert Downey Jr. has it in him to play Tony Stark again. I say the Stark Market crashes...