2 NY Times Articles: =Delaware River=

_ritter_

Gadfly
Two articles from The New York Times about flooding on the Delaware River:

Yes. The New York Times - not The Times Herald Record.

Question:

Is the NYC DEP negligent for property / casuality damages from this flood in the New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey communites south of their reservoirs at Downsville, NY and Stilesville, NY since the NYC DEP had more than 20% of water in reserve [source:DRBC] for mid September and also knowing that more rain was coming from the remnants of Hurricane Ivan along with the ground being waterlogged from 15 inches of rain from mid July through mid September. With all of these facts before them - why were they were reluctant to release water from the bottom of their reservoirs during July and August which would have resulted no spillage over the top of both Pepacton and Cannonsville and less damage?

TR
www.delawareriverfishing.com


Articles:

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/19/nyregion/19weather.html


Hurricane Ivan's Last Gasp Leaves New York Region Soaked
By ALAN FEUER

Published: September 19, 2004

The remnants of Hurricane Ivan sloshed into New York City and environs yesterday, shutting down large patches of the city's subway system, causing New Jersey to declare a state of emergency in four counties and threatening to flood rivers as far north as Sullivan County, N.Y.

Hundreds of weekend riders were inconvenienced as service on several Manhattan subway lines was suspended for a few hours yesterday morning.

The 1, 2 and 3 lines were shut down from Times Square to 96th Street because of flooding from 9:40 a.m. to about noon, said Paul J. Fleuranges, a New York City Transit spokesman. The 4, 5 and 6 lines from Grand Central Terminal to 125th Street were also closed from roughly 9 a.m. to noon, Mr. Fleuranges said.

Mr. Fleuranges said that the F train from Jay Street in Brooklyn to 34th Street was temporarily shut down because of burning insulation on some track equipment at the West Fourth Street station.

One frustrated commuter, having suffered through suspension of the F train, bellowed in the subway car, "This service stinks!" When the F was then suddenly shifted to the tracks of the A train, he buried his head in his hands and groaned.

By 10 a.m. yesterday, 2.25 inches of rain had fallen in New York City, said Geoff Cornish, a meteorologist at Pennsylvania State University. The heaviest rainfall was between 8 and 9 a.m., he said, when 1.15 inches was recorded in Central Park.

The downpour was caused by the tail end of Ivan's warm moist air pushing northeast from the Southern states and colliding with a cold front that was already hovering in the region, Mr. Cornish said. He said that the cold front would most likely bring chilly winds today that could gust up to 20 or 30 miles per hour in New York.

"It will really feel like autumn," he said.

One of the hardest hit areas in the region was Sullivan County, about 90 miles north of New York City, which declared a state of emergency yesterday morning. One town in the county, Long Eddy, had 5.34 inches of rain by 8:20 a.m., Mr. Cornish said.

Daniel Hogue, the Sullivan County sheriff, said he had closed all roads in the county except to emergency vehicles. "We don't want any joy riders out there," he said.

Sheriff Hogue said that the authorities had evacuated hundreds of people from flooded areas in the towns of Highland, Callicoon and Lumberland. Some evacuations also took place in the townships of Roscoe and Livingston Manor, Sheriff Hogue said.

County officials were concerned that the Delaware River might overflow its banks. Sheriff Hogue said it was likely that, by this morning, the river could rise as much as 10 feet over flood stage.

In New Jersey, Gov. James E. McGreevy declared a state of emergency in Warren, Hunterdon, Sussex and Mercer Counties, The Associated Press reported. Officials in Warren Country were trying to evacuate about 2,000 residents in several communities along the Delaware River.

Joe Orlando, a spokesman for the New Jersey Turnpike Authority, said two highway ramps in or near Newark - 14A and 15E - were temporarily shut down by flooding.

In Connecticut, where nearly three inches of rain fell in parts of the state, a boater died after his 31-foot trimarin capsized in Long Island Sound near Niantic Bay in six-foot seas and winds of 50 knots, The A.P. reported.

In Manhattan, at the West Fourth Street subway station, Kate Greenthal and Leah Brunski, both 23, were desperately trying to get to the Bronx for the big game between the Yankees and the Boston Red Sox. They had started out on the 4 train on the East Side, but when they found that it was shut down they walked west to take the B or D lines.

"When we got here, it was no dice again," Ms. Greenthal said.

In the Bronx, the rain caused a brick retaining wall about 30 feet high by 100 feet long to collapse, sending tons of soil and asphalt slamming into the rear of two attached six-story apartment buildings at 2770 and 2780 Kingsbridge Terrace, according to a spokeswoman for the Department of Buildings, Jennifer Givner. No one was injured at the buildings, though all of the apartments were evacuated, she said.


Ann Farmer, Winnie Hu and Howard O. Stier contributed reporting for this article.



http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/20/nyregion/20flooding.html


Thousands Evacuated as Delaware River Floods
By DAVID KOCIENIEWSKI

Published: September 20, 2004


TRENTON, Sept. 19 - _Thousands of people were forced to flee their homes along the Delaware River on Sunday, after heavy rains Saturday from the remnants of Hurricane Ivan caused the river to swell to its highest level in decades.

The river spilled over its banks along an 80-mile stretch from Easton, Pa., as far south as Trenton, forcing the authorities to close several bridges, shut down flooded roadways and evacuate homes. There were no deaths or serious injuries reported, but one house in Phillipsburg, N.J., was uprooted by the waters and carried downriver several hundreds yards before hitting a bridge.

Although the waters were expected to crest by 10 p.m. Sunday, a flood warning was to remain in effect until at least Monday morning, said Sgt. Kevin Rehmann, a spokesman for the New Jersey state police.

In Trenton, where the waters reached nearly 25 feet above flood level, about 1,000 people left their homes, stretches of Route 29 were submerged and state workers filled sandbags to protect office buildings near the river. About 75 people spent Saturday night or part of Sunday at an emergency shelter in the Joseph Stokes Memorial School, including about a dozen residents from the Water's Edge home for the elderly in South Trenton, which was evacuated Saturday afternoon.

Mercer County's sheriff, Kevin Larkin, said that some residents may not be able to return to their homes until Tuesday.

"We're just telling them, we are going to protect your residences and if you can just put up with a little discomfort for a couple of days, we'll get you back to normal," the sheriff said.

Across the river, in Bucks County, Pa., more than 1,600 people were evacuated, according to Ann Machesic, a county spokeswoman. Some of the most severe flooding occurred in Yardley, where sections of the town's tiny downtown were closed and some homes and businesses near the river were reportedly knee-deep in water.

The flooding came a day after torrential rain pounded sections of Pennsylvania, New Jersey and upstate New York, leaving five inches of rain in some communities. On Saturday, Gov. James E. McGreevey of New Jersey declared a state of emergency for Mercer, Hunterdon, Sussex and Warren Counties, and by early Sunday, emergency service officials were beginning to evacuate some neighborhoods near the river's edge.

Joseph Quick, 76, said he was resting in his room at the River's Edge home on Saturday when teams of emergency workers and staff members led him and other residents out of the building.

"I'd like to go back," said Mr. Quick, as he pushed his walker in the emergency shelter. "They pulled me out of my bed."

A meteorologist from the National Weather Service, Joe Miketta, said the flooding was more severe than it was during the last major flood on the Delaware, in 1996. Saturday's rains were caused by the remains of Hurricane Ivan, which killed 70 people in the Caribbean and another 43 along the Gulf Coast of the United States. In some parts of New Jersey, the rain fell at one and a half inches per hour, Mr. Miketta said, and when the runoff reached the Delaware, the sheer volume of water caused the river to spill over its banks.

By late Sunday morning, the rushing water had risen to within three feet of the deck of the bridge between Lambertville, N.J., and New Hope, Pa., raising concerns that the structure could be damaged or washed out. By early evening however, the water level began to drop, and local officials said they believed that the worst danger had passed.

"We're feeling pretty confident that we are going to be O.K.," said Lambertville's police director, Bruce Cocuzza.

Despite the warnings issued late Saturday, some residents were still surprised by the flooding Sunday because the heaviest rains fell in communities far from the river.

Sue Holzmer, of Titusville, N.J., said she was just beginning her honeymoon in Cape May when she got a call Sunday morning that helicopters were over her house and the river was flooding. She returned home to find two feet of water in the basement.

"It never ceases to amaze me, the power of this river," Ms. Holzmer said.

In many communities along the river, the Delaware was watched more in awe than in fear. With Sunday's mild temperatures and brilliant sunshine, families walked to watch ducks and geese paddling down flooded streets or marvel at the rushing river, which carried fallen trees, barrels and overturned boats.

At Washington Crossing State Park, hundreds of sightseers were snapping pictures of the rising river as it raced under the Washington Crossing Bridge. Just north of the state park, most of the homeowners in the Titusville area were keeping close watch of the rising tide and waiting it out.

"I don't think it's going to hit the deck," said one resident, Jim Trainor, sticking a tape measure into the river and noting about 10 inches of leeway between the river and his deck patio. "If necessary, I could be out of here in 10 seconds."
............................
 
Answer: YES

I am hoping that this gets the attention of those politicians. Lawsuits and Money for damage recovery and Federal Aid should wake up someone, right?
 
Is the NYC DEP negligent for property / casuality damages from this flood in the New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey

IMO, No. When we pay claims we have never looked to subrogate for reocovery from a Gov't party like the DEC in this case. Shoulda, coulda released more water is not cause enough.
The Flood Insurance program is Gov't backed and it won't go against NY in my opinion either.

But on the other hand; from the FUDR and DRF point of view I would think this will be just another good point to argue for better use of the water when there is no drought condition in July/August knowing that fall weather conditions "will most likely " bring replenisment. IMO it is plain stupidity or mabe even reckless to jepordize the lives of downriver citizens by entering huricane season with near 100% capicity.

Someone posted awhile ago a query about why should NJ, NY, PA and non-fishing people care about managing the watershed better. This flood might just help provide an answer why they might care about the DEC hoarding water in a non-drought condition and leaving no room for potential storage in the case of a sudden flood.

Michael M.
 
This event - the magnitude of which could have been lessened by releasing water in advance throughout the late summer - should bring together the small communities and businesses - as well as the downriver states - throughout the UD tailwater watershed of the EB, WB and MS and question through federal hearings the 1954 compact - along with holding NYC DEP accountable for this occurance so that it cannot happen again.

TR
www.delawareriverfishing.com
 
I believe the DRBC did sign an agreement in 1997 to leave some capacity available in the Pepacton to alleviate the possiblity of flooding. Someone forgot to honor this.

Bruce
 
"This event - the magnitude of which could have been lessened by releasing water in advance throughout the late summer - should bring together the small communities and businesses - as well as the downriver states - throughout the UD tailwater watershed of the EB, WB and MS and question through federal hearings the 1954 compact - along with holding NYC DEP accountable for this occurance so that it cannot happen again."

Is it the NYC DEP/DEC or is it really New York City that is holding the cards? I agree that there seems to be an argument for summer water releases in all this mess... maybe in the form of a Table that allows releases based on probability of spill, which would be dependant on the date. ie, in July there would be less predictive certainty at a given reservoir level than in August, that spill would take place, at, say 95% capacity. Sorry if I haven't made this clear, but hopefully the approach can be appreciated. BTW, the data for these calculations is available; its getting ALL the parties of the 1954 agreement to go along.
 
This event - the magnitude of which could have been lessened by releasing water in advance throughout the late summer - should bring together the small communities and businesses - as well as the downriver states...


Playing the devil's advocate here:

Thermal releases aside, while I agree that releasing water from the reservoirs in the summer would probably have lessened the impact of flooding on the immediately adjacent towns in NY, I don't see what effect, if any, that would have had on downstream states. Would Trenton have flooded any less if Cannonsville was at 50% capacity during this storm? The effect would probably be negligable, if any. The Delaware watershed is huge and was deluged with rain from all areas, and the reservoirs only play a small part in the total amount of water in the system as it gets farther downstream.
 
Fly Ty R,

If Pepacton and Cannonsville had been drawn down sufficiently so that they did not spill until after the river had crested, it would have amounted to between 20,000 and 25,000 CFS (looking at how high the rivers crested at above the reservoirs). That's significant to me. It couldn't have been prevented but it wouldn't have been as bad as it was.

Bruce
 
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Hi guys,

I have been mopping up the last couple of days at the house.

Here are a couple of pictures.

These are at junction pool. The water was up over the kiosk on Saturday. Amazingly one of the benches survived!!!! The picnic tables and other benches are gone.

There were a ton of tricos in the air here this morning too!!

More to follow,

Jim
 

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I live down in SE PA, just across the bridge from Trenton. Major flooding has happened down this way as well as up river.

In my opinion, releases, or lack thereof over the course of the summer, would not have helped much in reducing the overall flooding that's occurred. I don't have the exact stats, but looking at precip maps (on local weather feeds, Weather Channel, etc.) A LOT (as in a REAL LOT) of rain fell BELOW the reservoirs.

Not having spillage over the top maybe would've helped reduce flooding up river on the West Branch and possibly downriver a bit, but Callicoon itself (25 +/- miles downriver) had over 5 inches of rain in a short amount of time. The ENTIRE Delaware River basin / drainage got hammered with a ton of moisture, most of which is out of the control of flow releases.

Here's a link to the WeatherChannel.com's monthly rainfall estimates:

http://www.weather.com/maps/activity/garden/monthlyrainfallestimate_large.html

According to this map some of the heaviest precip occurred right along the upper D - or in areas that drain into it. Again, a lot of precip was BELOW the 2 reservoirs.

Any loss due to this flooding is a terrible thing but implying that NYC's failure to release water caused, or even had a significant impact upon, this flooding event is in my opinion, misguided.


Shawn
 
shware said:


In my opinion, releases, or lack thereof over the course of the summer, would not have helped much in reducing the overall flooding that's occurred. I don't have the exact stats, but looking at precip maps (on local weather feeds, Weather Channel, etc.) A LOT (as in a REAL LOT) of rain fell BELOW the reservoirs.

Not having spillage over the top maybe would've helped reduce flooding up river on the West Branch and possibly downriver a bit, but Callicoon itself (25 +/- miles downriver) had over 5 inches of rain in a short amount of time. The ENTIRE Delaware River basin / drainage got hammered with a ton of moisture, most of which is out of the control of flow releases.


Shawn
.................
Shawn,
107% is not what I'd call containment.

Would you?

That is what the capacity of that reservoir is right now. It might as well be a river. Water going right over the top.

http://www.nyc.gov/html/dep/html/maplevels.html

Cannonsville Reservoir (WB Delaware River)
107.1%

Also, I'm not so sure that NYC, Long Island and eastern New Jersey got as much rain on Friday night. 2 to 3 inches - yes. Not 6 or 7 inches like the western Catskills.

I think the bulk of the water you saw passing through Easton and Trenton came from the north.

I believe there is a post from Andre around the time that I posted the stats for Narrowsburg and he said that Lambertville looked O.K. and was running at a normal level.

Please check the thread.

TR
Narrowsburg, NY
www.delawareriverfishing.com
 
draw down

If these reservoirs have to be drawn down from their present levels, ( to where they should have been two months ago) the West Branch, East Branch and Mainstem will be unwadeable for quite some time.. To think there is more tropical moisture on the way! It seems there is a fatal flaw in all these regulations.... the human factor. There seems to be no accountability whatsoever. This whole situation is an endless series of blunders. Is there really a Rivermaster or maybe he is a River-servant. Thank you for allowing me to vent.
 
_ritter_ said:
.................
Shawn,
107% is not what I'd call containment.

Would you?

Well it is containing 100% of its capacity :)

I do wonder just how low would the resv's have to have been to NOT have an overflow situation after the rainfall that's just occurred?

40%, 50%, 60%, 70%?

Just wondering. I'm also wondering just how NYC (or those "managing" releases) would've guessed that Ivan was going to happen and how far back they should've known?

Also, I'm not so sure that NYC, Long Island and eastern New Jersey got as much rain on Friday night. 2 to 3 inches - yes. Not 6 or 7 inches like the western Catskills.

Nope. Trenton got about an inch.

I think the bulk of the water you saw passing through Easton and Trenton came from the north.

Never said otherwise. I did say, though, that the bulk of the water flowing down at the time was coming from SOUTH of the resv's.

I believe there is a post from Andre around the time that I posted the stats for Narrowsburg and he said that Lambertville looked O.K. and was running at a normal level.

Please check the thread.

At the time, the river hadn't crested in Lambertville. I'm not sure I'd call 10,000CFS a "normal" flow at this time of year, though. It was already on the rise at the time of Andre's post. Lambertville / New Hope did get hit pretty good by late Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.

This thread started with a comment asking whether NY DEP's negligence caused flood damages because they didn't predict this large rainfall in time to lower the reservoir levels. The question included NY, PA, and NJ. It's my opinion that the levels of the reservoir didn't play as much a role in as the original question would imply. As I originally stated, high resv levels maybe would've helped those along the WB / EB / MS a bit, but not downriver.

There was flooding pretty much up / down the the Delaware River basin. You're right, most of the water hitting southern regions came from up north. But, most of this northern water came from BELOW the dams. Anything flowing into the Deleware from around Lambertbille / Riegelsville PA on up were running over their banks.



Shawn
 
Shawn

I don't know either what level the three reservoirs would have to be at to absorb the dramatic in flow of water from this storm but after reading the article that quoted the supervisor of NYC responsible for the dams stating that:

Quote:
Ian Michaels, a spokesman with the New York City Department of Environmental Protection, which oversees the dams in the area, said the Pepacton was above 100 percent capacity and still spilling water.


Even with the flooding, he said, "We are not allowed to turn off the release," according to a decree signed by states belonging to the Delaware River Basin Commission. But the releases have been the lowest allowed, at 23 million gallons per day, he said.


In comparison, he said, that is well below the 4.7 billion gallons spilling from the Pepacton between 8 a.m. Saturday and 8 a.m. Sunday. Another 11.2 billion gallons spilled in the next 24-hour period, he said.


"It’s a very precarious situation when the reservoir is at 100 percent or above," Freyer said.


I don't know what an extra 4.7 and 11.2 billion gallons means down river but it be significant. And that is only the over spill from Peapacton, there are over spills coming from Cannonsville and Neversink. At those rates the reservoirs might not have sufficient hold back capacity unless they were down 10-20-30??? percent but from my point of view if they were even capable of holding back the over spill for 48 hours that would allow the smaller tributaries to run off somewhat. I can see that the total amount of water flowing into the Delaware was overwhelming but I think what others here are saying is the if at the dams the flow was held back because water was not maintained at near 100% capacity knowing the average capacity in August was something like 65% then the hold back could be absorbed duirng the initial storm. In this case the facts are that instead of 46 MILLION gallons being release this past Saturday and Sunday they release 15.9 BILLION gallons from just Peapacton. 46 million to 15.9 billion, maybe that wouldn't make a difference in reality, I'm serious, not being sarcastic here because I just don't know the science but I know math and millions to billions is big. Flood control is difficult business.

Michael M.

BTW: The quote came from this article http://www.thedailystar.com/news/st...9/21/flood.html
 
Shawn,

If Cannonsville and Pepacton had been drawn down to say 90%, they still would have spilled from Ivan's rain, but the spillage would have happened AFTER the rest of the Delaware system had crested and come down some. That's the point being made here. We're not talking about the fishery here, we're talking about lessening the impact on property and possibly life. In another thread, I estimated that at crest, the WB and EB (not counting the Beaverkill system) contributed approx 20,000 to 25,000 CFS. Considering the Mainstem at Callicoon crested at 104,000 CFS, that's close to 20% (taking the 20,000 CFS number). I saw Port Jervis at 142,000 CFS at one point, but not sure about how high downriver got, but to me 20,000 CFS is a lot of water. I also posted that the DRBC signed an agreement for the Pepacton to compensate for possible flood, but there was no reaction on their part. Even if an attempt to draw down both Cannonsville and Pepacton between Frances (9/10) and Ivan (9/17), it would have helped some. Certainly a flood would not have been prevented (since the Beaverkill alone crested at over 42,000 CFS at Cooke's Falls), but it would have helped. Just ask the folks that were impacted by this if they wouldn't have minded 20,000 CFS less water. It was obvious to many that after Frances dumped its rain on our area, that there was a predicted chance that Ivan would do the same. Cannonsville release was uped to 1461 CFS, but only for one day, I assume to lessen spillage, but nothing was done at the Pepacton. 7 days of max release on both res's would have lessened the crest numbers. (I don't see the point of drawing down the reservoirs to 50% or 60% for this, that would not be the right thing to do.)

Bruce
 
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Thanks all for the great discussion.

FWIW, Trenton crested a little over 200,000CFS - now that's a lot of water!

I also don't know the math and do agree that a lower resv level would've helped those upriver.

But, I'm not sure how long a 10% drawdown would've delayed the inevitable flood even upriver, and perhaps it would've only made it last longer (albeit a little lower) :).

On another note, does anyone know how the big, new house @ Stockport made out? :D

Kidding aside, we've seen a major flood event and I sincerely hope all on this board fared well and did not suffer any (or too much) damage.


Thanks again,


Shawn
 
Bruce,

You are absolutley correct in your assessment.

If NYC had reduced reservoirs to 90%, this still gives them a very high degree of "probability of refill by June 1st", the reservoirs would have helped even more than they did by delaying the water for a few days.

An example:

Beaverkill: Saturday crest 43,300 cfs now 1,400 cfs

West Branch: Saturday crest 16,600 cfs now 5,000 cfs

If there were no reservoirs, most of the towns would be gone. The reservoirs delayed much of the water. With no reservoir the West Branch would have crested higher than the Beaverkill!

The reservoirs could have been used to do an even better job had they been reduced to 90%

West Branch: Saturday crest about 13,000 cfs now about 2,000

I know this would have been enough to keep water out of our basement!!

I think that we can arrive at the best solution for all and even help the fisheries and the rivers. The only way to fix this is to allow the reservoirs to be at 90% (or whatever the number turns ut to be) full and when they get higher release the water in a controlled even manner. NYC proved this summer that they can prevent spill by releasing about 80% of the known inlfow, so the calculation can be made to release water to keep the reservoir at about 90%. The probability of refill would still be very high and the flood problem would be reduced. The added benefit would be better river habitat and better fisheries.

This needs to be done over a long time period as they cannot release large quantities at once. The release capacity on the EB is about 700 cfs and on the WB about 2500 cfs. In order to make significant changes in res height this needs to be released over long periods of time. It just takes better management!!!

The people on the main stem including the new stockport house had significant water in their basements.

Still cleaning up,

jim
 
Jim,

How did the cabins just below the no-kill on the WB make out?

Some buddies and I stayed in the 2nd one on the right (down the private road) there last May and I think we wanted to go back there again this spring.

Thanks!


Shawn
 
Beaver Kill flooding

Hi, folks. New member here. I was camping at Roscoe Campsites for my first-ever fly tying and fishing trip on that Friday night. Bad bad timing!

I was sleeping in a camping hammock and so was about 3 feet up off the ground. At about 5 am I was awakened by shouts to get out now, flood, save yourself, etc. So I dropped down out of the hammock into what was then the river. My car was already half under water so I made my way across the water and up a bank and was hauled out by rescue workers. All of this was before dawn. If some really wonderful guys in the next campsite hadn't remembered me I doubt I would have gotten out of there because I was high and dry and sleeping while the rest of the campground was mostly evacuated.

If keeping that reservoir lower could have helped, then I surely wish they had done so. My car was a total loss and the insurance company is not going to pay out what I still owe on it. I lost an additional $2000 worth of belongings and there is no coverage for that, since the event was a flood.

It was a scary day made better by good people at the campsite and working the rescue and fire squads. Folks I've met online have been unbelievably generous and my fly fishing and tying equipment is now replaced and then some.

All in all, not a great way to start in a wonderful pastime. Since then I've had a blast and today I'm going after some landlocked salmon on Fall Creek in my town of Ithaca, NY.

Just figured I'd give you all a little firsthand story from that day. Here are some photos to show you what a flood can do to a car and its contents. Check out how the engine has been rotated on its mounts!


Good to be here. I promise to be MUCH less dramatic in future posts.

Diane Maluso
Ithaca, NYRoscoe Flood Photos
 
fall creek

Let me know how Fall Creek treated you. I heard the run is great when it gets going. BTW, there is no reservoir on the Beaverkill .
 
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